Laura looks like a mess on the various satellite feeds. Wonder what the advisory at 11 will say.

Well, looks like Laura has decided (for now) to come our way. I guess we'll do all our heavy moving on Monday...of course, when we wait to last minute, the storms tends to go away from our area (that may be just coincidence, ya think?).

new track over the islands. that should end any chance of development until what ever is left gets to g of mx

Are chances good that either TD14 or Laura become a major hurricane or are we going to have to wait for a future storm for that?

What new track and over what islands?

https://uploads.disquscdn.c...

That a quick drop

1009mb new center fix

Is Laura diving SW or rotating around a a broad gyre ?

Rotating

14 will probably struggle for the next 3 days unless that Gulf Tutt moves away or dissipates; Laura could be a monster by Monday....

Isnt the Gulf TUTT supposed to retreat north? I think the issue is timing of its retreat and 14's speed.

That is the key for 14........In the case of Laura, that current tandem movement, with the Tutt out ahead moving away from the core, is a classic signature we have seen in the past many times with many intense storms

Lets see what the next model runs do with Laura as the 12z will contain last night's data and hopefully the 18z (or might have to wait for 0z) for this morning's data.

0z has the euro run

No one has found data site from the Virgin Islands yet???

Lake O may be spared lol

Too early to say that

Hence the Lol 😆

Sheer and dry sinking air giving 14 trouble today..........All the convection is displaced to the NE towards Cuba away from the COC:

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noa...

And the Tutt in front of Laura is retrograding in tandem with the storm to the W-NW

Does anyone have the Discord link?

https://disqus.com/home/dis...

Any changes on Laura at 11? Any takers

The cone might shift south and "cover" more of the greater Antilles. We in PR are watching it carefully

I could see TD 14s naked swirl

And? The convection will take over pretty soon. It's in a perfect environment for development

streaking through the Caribbean, lol

indecent exposure

how embarrassing :)

TD14 is moving north from what I see and there are a lot of storms to the NE and N of the center area. I think it really could spin up pretty fast in that particular area. I hope I am wrong

its concerning for me

Is TD 14 still pretty disorganized? Would of thought that it would be already named because it looked so good yesterday

Was never stacked , look at the surface reflection , vorticity not strong at all.

Having issues with dry sinking air which is suppressing convection

Why are a lot of storms having stacking issues this hurricane season?

Yea dry air too

It wobbled into Honduras last night and just reemerged. The HH said there was a tighter, more defined area of circulation so it might spin up quicker or vice versa, it's a watching game now.

Didn't realize it had made "landfall". Thanks

That's what I heard, I was just as surprised when I woke up in a good way. It wasn't a monster. Love them wobbles when it's not a major hurricane

Here is to hoping euro generates correctly

9:30 EDT CIMSS product for Laura.........Has the nice shear window out ahead for now:

https://uploads.disquscdn.c...

Better take advantage

Same for 14 until he gets to the Yucatan

https://uploads.disquscdn.c...

Does anyone have the latest run for the COAMPS model??

0z is still the last one out right now, I posted it earlier do you want it again

That would be great :)

https://uploads.disquscdn.c...

no longer coming up the east coast.

Still possible. I think there will be a lot more changes