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The fact that mass protests continue after Sargsyan´s resignation is the proof ( if more was neede, It seemed to me a colour revolution all the way since the beginning, by the "style" of the protesters...) that this is not about Sargsyan perpetuating himself at power or even his alleged corruption, but to overthrow the legitimate government by a minority of liberal economically accomodated people ( look at the images that these are not Armenian proletarians...) who have no other way to grab power through elections as happened to the nazis in the Ukraine ( or everywhere...)
Of course, rivers of money have run in Armenia amongst the ranks of the military and police who have joined these "protests"....
Good of you to think it through.
However, you said violence cannot be resorted to. What about in Kiev? In a recent Putin docu, he claims the West asked him to sway the Kiev leadership away from violence. He did, he says. "The next day," they did the coup. Putin claims they tricked him. I doubt that. I doubt he believed there'd be no coup. But it's cause for pause.
During street protests in the West, violence is always used to stop things. It's showy but easy; it gives coppers a chance to pretend they're important. But you're saying Armenia just doesn't have enough sovereignty (due to unreliable state tools, disloyal defense forces) to rely on basic law enforcement (i.e., arresting people who are literally destabilizing the country)? I can believe that, I guess. (Wonder how much that "band" System of a Down are involved in this crap.)
Whatever the case, it's still big evil's game being played. Are you encouraging lightweights to sumo fight heavyweights? There's another problem: everything's in reaction, in defense. That's alright when we're preventing hot war, but not while in the middle of a psych war. You have to beat the anglos to the punch on something.
Under most conditions, it should be avoided, is what I said. It can be some 'last resort' - but, by the time that the Maidan protests came to mass violence, it was really too late for Berkut to do anything.
True. And the US had tried for ten years to make the Maidan finally work. It took paid snipers killing over a hundred, including scores of Berkut.
I suggest creating strong barriers and gatekeepers between national-international exchanges.And national government oversight over groups with ties to foreign entities.
Much to think about with this article.
Armenia is a crucial piece for Putin and Russia's security. The two militaries have been close.
Thus the urgency to inject instability and Color tactics.
You are right, Armenia is crucial for Russian security but without Russia Armenia would be an easy target for Turkey and Azerbaijan. It would be a suicidial act to let western vultures infiltrate and organize violent protests similar to what happened in Ukraine.
In order to prevent that Russia must get involved and not repeat the mistake of not interfering in Ukraine prior Maidan. Crucial point is to prevent Russophobia, which failed in Ukraine. And why not use their tactics and so called NGO. Russia must be way more active in this hybrid war. It is always on defending side.
Russian diplomats in Armenia have met with the opposition leaders and there is communication going on.
I think they are not going to let the US steal Armenia and turn it against Russia.
There is a prepared approach that started with Maria Zakharova's social media words yesterday immediately signaling Russia's friendship with the Armenian people.
The official representative of Russian foreign Ministry Maria Zakharova said on the events in Armenia in the social network Facebook.
"The people who has power even in the most difficult moments of its history to be separated and to maintain respect for each other, despite the categorical differences, great people. Armenia, Russia always with you!" — wrote Maria Zakharova.
It won't be soon forgotten that Putin was the world leader who has given the Armenian holocaust its proper recognition. He did that despite the Turks and Erdogan's resistance and threats at the time to any world recognition of their crimes against the Armenians.
Excellent analysis Joaquin. Young people are easily bought with dreams - Armenia needs to offer them an alternative dream, and also to confront them with their past so they can understand the likely consequences of their revolt.
Concur. Excellent material from Joaquin.
thanks 'larchmonter' :)
thanks, i try
I find interesting, in order to locate the source after these "protests" that Pashynian is calling to block highways and roads and access to government building/facilities the same way/script they followed the Catalan independentists when they were trying to declare unilateral independence from Spain obviating at least half the electorate in Catalonia....
Well, we're in the middle of a transitional period, political circuses are going to be main attraction in town until it's over.Hope everyone puts in some effort to minimize casualties and avoid tragedies.
Armenia!? I thought you were describing Canada! Missed the header and started on the inbred hill bandit clan plotting & maneuvering. Lashings of apology.
Though in the interest of translation-Your excellent description and analysis describe
what is known here in the- Frosty Bananas Republic ,as-The Harem Eunuchs Coup.
Well nigh a tradition at this point.
Under direct isreali direction and ownership-rather than management of Darkest Yankydom at this point. NOT an improvement on any axis.
You can see this in the further(!) degeneration of our cut rate ever whored Treasonous "Elites".