Disqus - Latest Comments for zftcg

Re: Blog Controversy (What Else?): Did Obama Give Hillary Clinton The Finger?

zftcg — Fri, 18 Apr 2008 14:48:39 -0000

To paraphrase "Billy Madison", this manufactured controversy is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. Everyone in this discussion thread is now dumber for having listened to it. I award no points to whoever came up with it, and may God have mercy on their soul.

Re: Why Obama Will Win In Pennsylvania

zftcg — Thu, 03 Apr 2008 15:25:46 -0000

Would either candidate end their campaign prior to the convention, even if they were to lose every remaining contest?

Obama almost certainly won't drop due to primary losses; only a major scandal would force him out. Hillary almost certainly WILL drop out if she loses PA, due to the surprise factor, the media onslaught, and the fact that it basically kicks out the final leg of support for her anti-Obama rationale (he can't win big industrial swing states).

If she wins PA but loses NC/IN, she may not drop out voluntarily, but you may see a swing of superdelegates toward Obama that will move her chances from "long shot" to "not gonna happen", at which point she may have no choice but to drop out. It's possible that could happen even if she wins Indiana.

If I had to guess, I'd put it at about 10% odds that she loses PA and drops out, 30% that superdelegates force her to drop out after May 6, 50% that they do so after the final primary, 5% that this goes all the way to the convention (I know she said she'd do it, but I think she was bucking up her own supporters), and 5% that she somehow comes back and wins this thing.

Re: Gore ‘08?

zftcg — Mon, 31 Mar 2008 18:40:18 -0000

Every four years, we get ridiculous pundit wank-a-thons about brokered conventions, and of course, it never happens. I suppose this year it seems like it would be more plausible, but that's a mirage. Among the many reasons Gore '08 won't happen, here's the simplest: Right now, uncommitted superdelegates are cowering in their boots at the prospect of having to piss off half the Democratic electorate. Yet we're somehow supposed to believe that these same finger-in-the-winders would be willing to piss off BOTH sides by shunting aside the two top candidates for a man who hasn't received a single vote throughout the entire primary process. And oh yeah, in doing so they would quash the possibility of the first-ever female/African-American nominee and instead choose another white male.

There may be arguments as to why Gore would be a better candidate than the current choices, or could better unify the party (as much as I like Gore, I disagree on both counts, but it's at least a legitimate argument.) But such arguments are irrelevant, because it is simply not going to happen. We might as well be arguing whether a reincarnated FDR could unite the party.

Re: Obama’s Pastor: A Campaign Issue In The Making?

zftcg — Thu, 13 Mar 2008 14:42:45 -0000

Um, I don't know if Newsbusters has been paying attention, but McCain was recently endorsed by a minister with some real whack-job views on Catholicism and Islam. Seems like he's still viable to me.

(Yes, I know he's not actually McCain's pastor, but he does seem to welcome his support, even as he gingerly tries to disassociate himself from some of his more objectionable comments.)

Re: One Mississippi, Two Mississippi, Three . . .

zftcg — Wed, 12 Mar 2008 13:06:53 -0000

<quote>I smell a McCain Presidency...</quote>

Oh, c'mon! This is Mississippi we're talking about here. That place was racially polarized long before Obama came along, and will remain so long after he's gone. I don't think these numbers tell us anything about where the race is, or how it will play out in the rest of the country.