Disqus - Latest Comments for josejose50

Re: Categorizing prediction markets

josejose50 — Tue, 26 Aug 2008 09:35:00 -0000

On currency or rewards, they should be listed seperately, because the behavior of the players in the market will vary and differ based on whether there are tangible rewards or not (this is mainly for play money, I cant think of a situation with real money currency for intangible rewards). It makes sense that the people in Currency - Play Money, Rewards - Tangible are going to be the least risk averse, since they have nothing to lose and everything to gain, with the opposite being Currency - Real Money, Rewards - Real Money, which should lead to the most risk-averse behavior. Not sure which leads to "better" prediction markets, since differing levels of credibility could be applied based on the Currency/Rewards setup.

One thing about Background Data, I'm curious to see if any prediction market uses the background/demographic data to "weigh" trades/predictions, to help either control for insider knowledge or to promote insider knowledge. For example, if I'm trading in stock for Iron Man 2 on HSX, it would be helpful to know industry insiders are trading on the stock (similar to the SEC filings that are required by Wall Street).

By the way, like the ICROP acronym, easy to remember!

Re: She’s dancing!

josejose50 — Wed, 13 Aug 2008 11:14:56 -0000

Damn Russ it cant be that bad. On a side note I talked to someone who went to Clemson a year after that race and he thought the building we stayed at was condemned.

Re: Groundhog day on the Great Wall of China

josejose50 — Wed, 13 Aug 2008 11:12:26 -0000

Thanks Jed, trust me when I say that it is a little surreal to see these two huge cheering sections of Thunderstick people cheering in step in the middle of the rowing course. Hope everything else is going well in Beijing and that the Brits do well in Rowing.

Re: Chumby - I’m strangely intrigued

josejose50 — Fri, 20 Jun 2008 16:47:41 -0000

Hey Jed,

I actually own a chumby and use it as my alarm clock in the morning. It has some nice features where you can stream radio stations as your alarm clock music. Some of the widgets are great (I enjoy reading Fake Steve Jobs every night before going to bed), some are a little weak (the video ones in particular). The best part is though that you can change them pretty easily. Let me know if you decide to get one!