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8 months ago
in Ignore Early Adopters on Andrew Hyde
'Early-adopters' has become a prize almost, a label sought after by those in the tech community, as a mark of someone forward thinking. It seems like one of the biggest problems with the tech community is that it is so incestuous...with so many applications being made, is anyone stopping to wonder if these have any resonance with non-techies?
Anyways the problem with chasing that early-adopter label is that it really becomes much more about who is using the latest app, like a tech version of keeping up with the Jones' ... and less about someone seeing a great product and using it because it simplifies or somehow betters their lives.
Anyways the problem with chasing that early-adopter label is that it really becomes much more about who is using the latest app, like a tech version of keeping up with the Jones' ... and less about someone seeing a great product and using it because it simplifies or somehow betters their lives.
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1 year ago
in Am I Bored With “Web 2.0”? on A VC
Peak energy will change the world as we know it. You are deluding yourself if you think that globalization, commerce and culture will continue on their current trajectory given that the total amount of energy available to humanity is about to decrease in a very significant way. No amount of solar, wind, hydroelectric or nuclear power will replace the fossilized sunlight that we are rapidly depleting (in the form of Coal, Oil and Shale rock that is being turned into oil). This will be a massive change and no corner of the globe will be unaffected.
I believe this is the single greatest possiblity for transforming the world into a more peaceful, more human place. It also carries a great risk of devolving into unending wars for energy resources. Prepare for this and you will be able to achieve improvements in so many areas of people's lives...whereas if it catches you by surprise you will be less able to react to events, less able to understand the movement of history and less able to formulate a cogent response. The choice is yours good luck
I believe this is the single greatest possiblity for transforming the world into a more peaceful, more human place. It also carries a great risk of devolving into unending wars for energy resources. Prepare for this and you will be able to achieve improvements in so many areas of people's lives...whereas if it catches you by surprise you will be less able to react to events, less able to understand the movement of history and less able to formulate a cogent response. The choice is yours good luck
1 year ago
in Quick thought on john erik metcalf
Yeah, from talking to you and reading articles on the interweb it def seems like those are the long term trends on the web...at least in the tech community. Who knows if those will translate into the wider market of ideas and usage, right?
I went to the talk about trend forecasting I told you about, and there was definitely a process of trends being invented (or innovated), of people seeing those trends, early adopters and then wider or widespread adoption...and at every turn there is a 'gate keeper' someone who decides to adopt or not...and of course the book tipping point by Malcolm Gladwell...like what is it that finally tips the scale? Will twitter, or twitter-like apps ever attain the status of facebook?
I don't want to sound like an expert here I'm new to social media but even though it seems like such a niche its actually a vital part of the world in general and exemplifies other processes that are happening, mostly driven by technology....
Anyways back to work. Interesting post
I went to the talk about trend forecasting I told you about, and there was definitely a process of trends being invented (or innovated), of people seeing those trends, early adopters and then wider or widespread adoption...and at every turn there is a 'gate keeper' someone who decides to adopt or not...and of course the book tipping point by Malcolm Gladwell...like what is it that finally tips the scale? Will twitter, or twitter-like apps ever attain the status of facebook?
I don't want to sound like an expert here I'm new to social media but even though it seems like such a niche its actually a vital part of the world in general and exemplifies other processes that are happening, mostly driven by technology....
Anyways back to work. Interesting post
1 year ago
in conjunctured, openID, semantics — all the stuff I love on john erik metcalf
Sounds like it was a good day! I'm just learning about the semantic web, but I don't feel like a total no0b b/c its something I'm not sure a ton of people have heard about, at least graphic designers.
Looked at the conjunctured web presence and it looks awesome!
Looked at the conjunctured web presence and it looks awesome!