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John Buehler

3 months ago

in Making me hate your brand on Christopher S. Penn's Awaken Your Superhero
I agree on the poor marketing tact, but check out the most important thing in the paper "The Bartering Economy". The future of the New Economy is Barter!

4 months ago

in Daily Aid 87: President Obama: finish high school, one more year of higher ed on Financial Aid Podcast Weekly Internet Radio Show
Chris,

I like the chart in the middle, but the beginning has to move back to circa 1982 which is when the extreme M3 growth began to occur. From there it needs to ramp up at 3-5% per year taking us to about a DOW 3500 level before we see any "real" losses (which we will), but I digress.

Education is the epitomy of America. Fully half of more American adult workers accomplish less than 4 hours worth of value in a 40 hour work week. I'm not here to insult people, just stating what I have seen after visiting a few thousand companies over the past 25 years. People don't do Jack. The School system mimics this.

A Child at home with a motivated parent will out-do your average school-mill kid 100 to 1 every time. The coming Depression will free up more parents at home to do just this. I hope they are up to the task, because if they aren't, the rest of the world will walk right on past us. What we accomplish in 12 years of schooling could be accomplished in 5. The whole system is broken.

Like all existing systems however, if you try to "fix" it you will probably make it worse. What 200,000 teachers try to accomplish in a year can be done by 200 teachers with a staff of 200 technicians and YouTube in a few months. Those to be educated will probably appreciate the content far more and the results will likely be more noteworthy.

The current Education System in America is dead. It just hasn't realized it yet.

4 months ago

in Homes for Sale vs Population Where They’re Located; Miami Leads the way with highest real estate to population ratio on Roost
I agree that this is an interesting way of looking at things, but it is a look within a vacuum. Without knowing a few more things, we know nothing. We need to know the following:

1. What were the ratios in 2005, 2006
2. What percentage of people within these areas move for work versus an upgrade/downgrade i.e. reasons to move (neither are fairing well now)
3. What percentage of these populations would qualify for a loan in 2005, 2006 versus now.
4. Number of homes held by Bank owned REITs to keep inventory off the market.

I'm afraid that if we answer these questions, the percentage based upon number of available houses versus number of qualified buyers times the number of reasons to move (ah / qb * rm) looks a whole lot worse no matter how much you dress it up.
1 reply
roostblog I know John. This started off as just a fun way to look at inventory. But everyone here and on Twitter has brought up some very interesting ideas on how we could actually look at this data. I'm going back to the lab and I'm going to use a couple of favors to try and expand this to be much more realistic and useful. Give me a little time and hopefully I'll come back with something that might make you go wow.

8 months ago

in 6 tips for surviving a recession, taught by World of Warcraft zombies on Christopher S. Penn's Awaken Your Superhero
There is an End...hmm...if the invasion against Blizzard Entertainment had been supported by actions of others, lets say Entertainment Arts and a horde of hired chinese players, the influx of zombies could have continued on almost indefinitely in a purposeful tactic to damage a competitors virtual world. Even something so loved by its users as WOW would have faded into history had external forces piled on creating thier own zombie hoardes. How long would it take? a month, two, a year? Remember that all war is economic at some level and that all economics can conversely be warfare. If the wrong factions come to the conclusion that the only way to get value from their money is by destroying others ability to use it, the end may be a long way out and it won't really matter at a certain point. Just thought I'd pour out some sunshine ;-)

1 year ago

in We really are in trouble in this country. This is just the beginning of it. on Christopher S. Penn's Awaken Your Superhero
FDIC will never have the opportunity to kick in. The Fed knows it would fail and they can't have that, they only fund it enough to keep the doors open to provide a happy facade. The dollar will not collapse, it will fade into obscurity in a slow and painful manner. In the event of a dollar collapse who wins and who loses is a crapshoot, in a slow downward slide, only the truly wealthy can hang onto their Gold long enough for it to matter. Buy gold and hold gold, but I'm betting few of us will have the reserve power to make it to the end of this line. I wish you all well and I'll meet you at the crash site.
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