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Holly

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings Monday June 16, 2008: Reruns vs. Reality on TVbytheNumbers
The charts had data from September and October of 2007, so it would have been when almost everything was airing new episodes.
1 reply
Robert Seidman's picture
Robert Seidman If what Nielsen tells us is correct -- that fast-forward viewing is *not* counted in the numbers we see there is also the issue that we can't fully reconcile DVR impact because we lack the data for fast forwarded minutes. If without DVR your TV was on for one hour for a 60 minute show, you counted as one viewer. On a DVR, if you fast-forward through 20 minutes worth of commercials and credits you'll be counted as only 2/3rds of a viewer in the data we see.

I'm still not sure if what Nielsen is telling us is correct and I'm not trying to rub anyone the wrong way by saying that. it's just that I see things like this (link below) which ran in a publication owned by Nielsen itself and scratch my head:

http://www.adweek.com/aw/content_display/news/m...

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings Monday June 16, 2008: Reruns vs. Reality on TVbytheNumbers
Bill,

Thanks for the info. I was taking my numbers from the study in this article:
http://www.marketingcharts.com/television/dvr-u...

I have no idea what their criteria was, whether they included cable and/or daytime, etc.
1 reply
TV by the Numbers's picture
TV by the Numbers That's a very interesting article Holly. To create their two charts they definitely have data that we've never seen like a by day [and even by hour] breakdown of when DVR viewing happens [we see only Live, Live+SD and Live+7]. Overall I agree with their conclusions though.

I'm not sure how they came up with the 15% increase either since they don't spell it out, but if I had to guess it might have been for a limited set of networks and a limited period of time.

The numbers I cited above were for the entire season, and the %'s would go up if was just during a period of brand new episodes. Also, removing Univision [which has very low DVR numbers] from the mix, boosts the avg. viewer number to 8% even for the long period we looked at, and the 18-34 number to 13.3%, so 15% is certainly "correct" given the right parameters.

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings Monday June 16, 2008: Reruns vs. Reality on TVbytheNumbers
avschamp,

These numbers include same day DVR viewing. Robert and Bill also post the Live+7 day DVR viewing, but we only get data on the top 20 overall DVRed shows and the 20 shows that with the highest percentage of DVR viewers.

While there is obviously a difference between numbers Live, Live+Same Day, and Live+7, for the majority of shows, it is not significant enough to call the Live or Live+SD results "skewed". Live+7 ratings are only (on average) 15% higher than Live. For scripted shows, around 40% of that is same day viewing (which is included in the daily ratings); for "reality" shows, that goes up (American Idol had around 70% of its DVR numbers counted in the Live+Same Day).
2 replies
Robert Seidman's picture
Robert Seidman Holly, thank you! You saved me a longer reply. I'd only tack on this: Nielsen currently has DVR penetration pegged at about 25% or roughly 28 million out of 113 million television homes. That jibes with other data I have seen. While it's easy to say that "everyone has a DVR" just because everyone you know does, that's nowhere near the case yet.
TV by the Numbers's picture
TV by the Numbers Holly, we don't do overall "how much of TV viewing is via DVR" calculations regularly, but I did do some calculations in late April and here's the data for reference.

For the current season, through 4/20, for broadcast primetime for the 6 top networks [ABC, NBC, CBS, Fox, CW, Uni] this portion of the Live+7 viewing was via DVR.

Avg. viewers: 7.5%
Adults 18-49: 10.6%
18-34: 11.7%
25-54: 10.2%

For cable, the DVR percentages are much lower, but we cannot do any kind of overall calculation because we don't get the complete data. Same for syndicated, and almost certainly all other daytime.

It's definitely correct to say that some shows are very heavily DVR'd in the 20-40% of total viewing range, but those shows are still in the tiny minority at this point.

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings Wednesday June 18: Reality Over Reruns on TVbytheNumbers
Granted, part of that was apparently because they only wanted SAG actors, but it's still funny.

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings for June 7, 2008: Saturday was Worse than Friday on TVbytheNumbers
"FOX beat CBS this season because they know what viewers want. CBS does not."

Yep, the Super Bowl and American Idol, neither of which were affected by the strike.

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings Monday June 16, 2008: Reruns vs. Reality on TVbytheNumbers
"what's wrong with the mole?"

It gets horrible ratings.

1 year ago

in LOST Finale, Hell’s Kitchen and So You Think You Can Dance Lead DVR Viewing on TVbytheNumbers
Wow, you know it's summer when less than 350,000 DVR users puts you on the top 20 list.

1 year ago

in US Open Fourth Round: Best in 6 Years, Third Best in History on TVbytheNumbers
Is this round usually shown in primetime?

1 year ago

in TV Ratings Sunday June 15, 2008: NBA vs. Tiger Woods on TVbytheNumbers
I'm sure we'll see partial numbers for USA and Lifetime for last night (L&O: CI, In Plain Sight, and Army Wives). At least those two networks will wipe the floor with the CW, and possibly be competitive with FOX and CBS.

Regarding CBS's numbers: the Tony's need to move to cable. The numbers were nearly identical last year and it's not going to get any better.

1 year ago

in TV Ratings Overnight Results for Thursday, June 12 on TVbytheNumbers
Polly,

I see your point, and during the regular season you would be right. In a regular (non-strike) season, I can see there being a "CSI-repeat threshold" where if a new show can't do better than CSI/crime show repeats could do in that spot, it gets canceled. There's a limit to that though, especially in summer when there are already a lot of reruns. Unless CBS wants to run 8 hours of CSI like NBC did with L&O, they need something else. If Swingtown can hold the 2.3 demo (which I doubt), CBS will be content: not ecstatic, but not unhappy either.

Also, since their other shows for summer include "Big Brother with dogs" and "Jingles," it's not like they have a lot of options (though they could give Flashpoint a better timeslot than Fridays at 10).

1 year ago

in TV Ratings Overnight Results for Thursday, June 12 on TVbytheNumbers
Bill,

If I recall correctly, the STD numbers provided by Nielsen's include all in-slot reruns. Especially with the strike, that makes a huge difference in the season average. There were only a few shows (Kid Nation, Cane, Shark, the Friday shows) that got below a 2.5 in the demo for a new show more than once or twice.

That said, 2.3 is still decent for a summer show.
1 reply
TV by the Numbers's picture
TV by the Numbers Holly, you are correct, that's where the 22 episodes came from.

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings June 11, 2008: Au Revoir ‘Men in Trees’ on TVbytheNumbers
The really sad thing is that we have another 3 months of these boring ratings to look forward to. The good summer shows are all on cable, and, aside from the Olympics, nothing worth noticing will happen on the networks until September.
1 reply
TV by the Numbers's picture
TV by the Numbers Holly, but *we* look forward to them ;)

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings for June 7, 2008: Saturday was Worse than Friday on TVbytheNumbers
I know I shouldn't bother, but..


Gwen,

Moonlight lost viewers from Ghost Whisperer in EVERY single one of the 22 airings that ML followed GW, loosing an average of 1.46 million viewers. It lost in the demo in all but 2 of those airings (beating it by .1 in the premiere and tying it once), loosing an average of .3. Reruns only, it lost in EVERY one of the 5 times they both had reruns, loosing an average of 1.4 million viewers and .3 in the demo. Of the three times a Moonlight rerun went against Dateline, it lost ALL THREE TIMES.

In order for Moonlight to have beaten Dateline, it would have had to IMPROVE on its lead-in in viewers (something it has NEVER done at all) by more than 1 million viewers and improve by .6 in the demo (MATCHING the demo for the finale).

You liked the show and you're pissed it was canceled. We get that. It sucks when a show you like gets canceled, but there is absolutely no evidence to support your claim that a rerun of Moonlight could have beaten a new Dateline. Insisting that it would or that CBS is going to collapse because it canceled one of its lowest rated shows doesn't reflect badly on CBS, it reflects badly on Moonlight fans.

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings June 9, 2008: Scripted Repeats Beat New Summer Reality on TVbytheNumbers
Given the quality of these reality shows, are we really surprised that more people want to watch reruns of scripted shows?

1 year ago

in American Idol, Grey’s Anatomy and House Lead DVR Viewing during “Finale Week” on TVbytheNumbers
Both Gusar and Kay have a point. Moonlight didn't air during this week, but it didn't appear on this list when it did air either.

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings for June 7, 2008: Saturday was Worse than Friday on TVbytheNumbers
The only way a Moonlight rerun would have beaten Dateline is if it got nearly 1 million viewers more than its highest-rated rerun. Since summer reruns almost invariably get lower ratings than in-season reruns, I just don't see that happening. In-season, Moonlight reruns have gone against Dateline three times (twice in December and once in April), it lost by over 1 million viewers each time. It is unreasonable to claim that summer reruns would suddenly beat it.

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings for June 7, 2008: Saturday was Worse than Friday on TVbytheNumbers
Katie,

Maybe, but not by much. Last year around this time, Numb3rs repeated on a Saturday with around 4 million viewers. Its summer Friday reruns were getting around 7 mill. Since Moonlight only averaged around 5 mill for in-slot, regular season reruns, it would have been hard-pressed to hit 3.5 on a Saturday in summer. While that would be marginally better than this movie did, CBS has a dozen shows that would get better ratings for a Saturday rerun.

1 year ago

in Upfront TV Ad Economics 101, Broadcast Revenues Likely To Fall on TVbytheNumbers
Viewers and advertisers should believe the optimistic press release spin...errr...objective news reports. Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain.

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings June 6, 2008: When Nobody Watched Broadcast TV… on TVbytheNumbers
BTW, when a rerun of Moonlight aired against Dateline, Moonlight lost by 2 million viewers.

1 year ago

in Nielsen Ratings June 6, 2008: When Nobody Watched Broadcast TV… on TVbytheNumbers
Let's see... Moonlight was the second lowest rated hour-long on the network, it lost viewers and demo from GW each and every airing, was the weakest link of the night, and now you think reruns of a canceled show would suddenly "save" Friday night for CBS? Seriously? GW at 9 last night got more viewers than any rerun of Moonlight and was only .1 behind in the demo from the highest rated Moonlight rerun.

Despite of the number of vitriolic posts Moonlight fans write on various websites, the fact is, it got mediocre ratings and was never going to be a hit. In fact, if CBS were bemoaning a mistake, it would be canceling Close To Home for Moonlight.

1 year ago

in Where You’re Watching Video on TVbytheNumbers
Anyone else find it interesting that the 55 and up crowd is more likely to watch video on their computer than the 35-54 group? I know it's not a big difference, but still.
1 reply
Katie1999 That doesn't surprise me at all. The 55's and up are not like our grandparents and their grandparents. They have had to adapt to the new technology in order to succeed in the workplace. Many are using the new technology to start new careers or businesses. It doesn't surprise me at all that they are more likely to watch on their computers or that they are computer savvy. The intellectual capital held by this group is worth billions!!

1 year ago

in “Remote Free TV” For FOX’s ‘Fringe’ and ‘Dollhouse’: Will It Work? on TVbytheNumbers
This sounds like a great idea (viewers have to endure fewer ads, advertisers don't have to worry as much about viewers fast forwarding as much), but I'm not so sure it will work, especially with high-cost shows like these are likely to be.

1 year ago

in CBS Fall Schedule: Will Ex-List Do Better Than Moonlight? on TVbytheNumbers
caroline,

I'm talking about the fans of Grey's Anatomy, Desperate Housewives, and all the other female-skewing relationship dramas that ABC is so in love with (ABC needs to diversify too). Personally, I'm not a fan of prime time soaps, but they get a LOT of 18-34 female viewers, so they get a lot of ad dollars. CBS does really well with their crime procedurals, but they need a couple of good serials and a couple of strong reality shows. That's why they picked up the Ex-List and Harpers Island.
1 reply
K caroline -- What CBS was thinking in picking Ex-List is that "Hey, if lonely pathetic women love watching a sexy guy in a vampire show, how about we give them a show about another lonely pathetic woman which can potentially feature A LOT of sexy guys as her ex-boyfriends? It'll be like the Hot-Guy-Of-The-Week show!" I'm sure they patted themselves on the back for that. And The Mentalist sounds like a complete rip-off of Psych. Bleh.

Holly -- You are right... ABC & CBS need to diversify. You're also right that Moonlight was basically another procedural in disguise. That was why I didn't keep watching after the first couple of episodes, especially since I always seemed to be out at that time anyway. But the last 2-3 episodes really seemed to start focusing on the recurring characters a lot more, which is why I decided to give it another chance. I think CBS would have been better off keeping Moonlight, continuing the trend toward building the character relationships, and for pete's sake stop trying to make into another CSI with a vampire.

1 year ago

in CBS Fall Schedule: Will Ex-List Do Better Than Moonlight? on TVbytheNumbers
Assuming that ABC's viewers can find a relationship drama on CBS, ABSOLUTELY. Moonlight's ratings were mediocre at best (consistently the lowest rated scripted hour-long on the network), so if The Ex-List doesn't do better (particularly in audience retention from GW) it will be pulled quickly. Still, I think they made the right decision. CBS needs to diversify and a female-skewing relationship drama is an important part of that. Vampires or not, Moonlighting was just another procedural (yes, I watched a number of episodes and yes, it had serial elements, but so does CSI). While CBS retreated to safer territory with The Mentalist and Eleventh Hour, this was a risk they needed to take.
1 reply
caroline Holly, are you referring to fans of Men in Trees and October Road? I am a fan and watched both of those shows and I have no interest in The Ex-List. This has nothing to do with Moonlight, like I said before, even if CBS renewed Moonlight and put The Ex-List in another slot, I still wouldn't have watched it. I don't like the stereotype of women who just can't live without a man. The Mentalist is safer? A fake psychic helping the police solve crimes as opposed to a vampire helping the DA solve crimes? How is that even different?

1 year ago

in What You’re Watching on Your DVRs (Broadcast Networks), March 17-23 on TVbytheNumbers
What happened to including the Live+SD numbers?
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