Disqus - Latest Comments for MickeyNY

Re: Is McCain Conceding the Popular Vote? -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Sun, 19 Oct 2008 19:49:47 -0000

Ceding the popular vote is a risky strategy, but with the current map and given his limited resources, McCain would be a fool not to. Let's not forget that Bush beat Kerry by 3 million votes in 2004, but a swing of just 60,000 votes in Ohio would have given Kerry the election. It would have been an absolute travesty of democracy had Kerry won despite losing the popular vote by such a substantial margin. Hell, Bush would have had a clear majority of the vote, the first since 1988, and yet lost.

McCain is already ceding every blue state from 2004 and Iowa -- that is spotting Obama 259 electoral votes. He needs to focus on the remaining states if he wants any chance of winning.

Re: Senate Watch -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Tue, 14 Oct 2008 14:57:51 -0000

I don't want to see Lieberman punished because I think that he wants to be a pariah. (Though maybe a rule that you have to be part of the caucus to be a committee chair -- sorry to Bernard Sanders, then again we can lift that rule whenever he's in position to be a chair of a full committee. If we took away his chair, what would he do? If he quits the party himself he's finishing his career in the minority and won't win in Connecticut.)

I actually think we're ignoring a third option -- he's going to resign his seat after the election and pursue other ventures, like Lott did once he realized that he was going to be in the minority forever. That way he gets sort of what he wants -- one final sticking to the Democrats in the form of Sen. Chris Shays appointed by Jodi Rell, and he gets to go make money as a consultant for either the insurance industry or the Israel lobby.

In fact, I'm going to bank on it now -- Lieberman will resign if McCain loses (because you know he's taking DoD if McCain wins). He'll quit, it will cost the Democrats a seat and he'll get to prove his point that he has no master but himself.

Re: Senate Watch -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Tue, 14 Oct 2008 11:22:15 -0000

Can we please stop all of this nonsense about "reaching 60" seats?

Look, I'd love a Democratic majority of sixty, but hitting sixty, with or without Joe Lieberman in the caucus, isn't going to mean that there won't be any more filibusters. There are so many moderates in the senate in both parties (Lieberman, Ben Nelson, Evan Bayh, Mark Pryor, Mary Landrieu -- Olympia Snowe, Susan Collins, Arlen Specter, George Voinovich, Dick Lugar) that even if Democrats have 60 or 61, it won't be any more valuable to have obtained the magic number.

On votes about the war, Democrats will need those moderate Republicans to make up for their own defections. Same is true about votes on economic issues (see Max Baucus) and on votes on social issues. Having sixty might create the appearance of a body that can get everything it wants done, but that will be far from the case -- especially if McConnell is the minority leader -- he's too skilled a parliamentarian.

What sixty really means is that Democrats will have the Senate for the next few years to come. Having a big majority and a mandate to govern is what really matters.

Also -- enough about punishing Lieberman -- don't. His vote will be important if we have 59, 60 or 61 Senators as on some issues, he has been a reliable supporter. He's wrong on the war and was a jerk all year -- that's fine. He's the one who has to survive Connecticut voters in 2012.

Re: Quote of the Day -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Mon, 13 Oct 2008 12:26:55 -0000

"A George divided against itself, cannot stand!" -- Seinfeld.

Re: SurveyUSA: Obama Opens Lead in Virginia -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Mon, 22 Sep 2008 13:07:09 -0000

I hope it is true. Still, when looking at the other polls all it really does is confirm two things:

(1) Virginia is a toss-up.

(2) Virginia is a better path to 270 for Obama than Ohio.

McCain must be freaking out. If Iowa and Virginia both get away from him, he will NEED to steal MI or NH from Obama.

Re: National Journal Poll: Key Red States May Flip -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Thu, 18 Sep 2008 14:34:59 -0000

They didn't even poll another Bush state that we'll win: Iowa.

And IA, CO and NM would be enough.

Re: National Journal Poll: Key Red States May Flip -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Thu, 18 Sep 2008 14:33:47 -0000

These polls aren't very good -- any poll more than a week old is useless.

Any poll with a 5 percent margin of error is just lazy.

Which polling firm is behind these?

And as SGA pointed out: This is before the new "IT" story -- the economic problems on Wall St. and the debacle of McCain saying "the fundamentals are strong." We've seen all the daily tracks move considerably toward Obama since then. Any poll taken before that isn't worth reporting.

Re: DNC Member Now Backs McCain -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Thu, 18 Sep 2008 08:59:56 -0000

I can't stand the black/white, right/wrong, good/evil crap. That's exactly why I'm backing Obama. McCain is from the same cloth as Bush.

Richard Riordan agrees -- the former LA Mayor who is a Republican is backing Obama as the best candidate for the job.

Re: DNC Member Now Backs McCain -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Thu, 18 Sep 2008 08:57:00 -0000

By the way.... Republican Richard Riordan, the former mayor of Los Angeles, endorsed Obama yesterday.

You can have your Rothschild. I'll take the guy who was a popular elected official.

But if they back Obama because they think he's the best, they're not putting the nation ahead partisan politics, right?

Re: DNC Member Now Backs McCain -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Wed, 17 Sep 2008 12:09:25 -0000

Oh please, save the idiot speak for blogs that have dumber readership. Attack and destroy all women? My eyes can't roll enough in response to that nonsense.

Attacking Lynn for her self-anointed self-importance has nothing to do with gender.

Cupp, you've made the most sexist comment on this blog by suggesting that women would believe the crap you say because they are women.

Poor Lynn, she won't be at all the best parties anymore! The Obama campaign wouldn't kiss her ass. I'll take Penny Pritzker over her any day.

Re: DNC Member Now Backs McCain -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Wed, 17 Sep 2008 12:04:28 -0000

That's not really a point at all. If there is a Wikipedia entry regarding "making a point" perhaps you should be reading that.

Rothschild picked a horse. It lost. She's now mad that she won't have influence and be at all the parties anymore. So she's bitterly endorsing John McCain.

By the way, how is the GOP treating Linc Chaffee and Jim Leach?

Re: DNC Member Now Backs McCain -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Wed, 17 Sep 2008 12:01:35 -0000

Exactly. If she had any care about issues, she couldn't possibly do this.

Instead she's in this for the cult of celebrity that is the Clintons. Rather than be out of power, she needs attention. Lynn is a shameless whore for attention and this behavior shouldn't be a surprise.

Re: DNC Member Now Backs McCain -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Wed, 17 Sep 2008 11:59:24 -0000

A lot of people in the Democratic Party have known this about Lynn for a while -- she made this pathetic threat months ago, including her hilarious comment that she viewed Obama as an "elitist."

This from a ROTHSCHILD.

Re: DNC Member Now Backs McCain -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Wed, 17 Sep 2008 09:18:31 -0000

Who cares? She views the presidency as a social status position. If she cared about any policy, her switch would be unfathomable. Instead, to this money grubbing whore, the presidency is about which personality best meshes with hers.

If she thinks connections are what politics are about, she should stay a Republican.

Re: Obama Hits McCain Hard on Lobbyists -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Sun, 14 Sep 2008 19:47:08 -0000

So, families are not "off limits" when McCain is attacking Biden over his family.

I love this new John McCain, he's such a lying asshole that he even has no compunction contradicting things he said just a couple weeks ago. It's exciting, we will finally know the answer of whether the American people will elect an all-out liar to the presidency who relishes in being a hypocrite and completely inconsistent.

If McCain wins, the gloves won't just be off in 2012... the brass knuckles will be on.

Re: Connecticut Delegates Want Lieberman Punished -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Thu, 28 Aug 2008 12:17:40 -0000

No, they wouldn't.

I am not in favor of kicking Lieberman out (because it is short-sighted for other reasons), but the Organizing Resolution for the current Senate clearly states that if the membership were to go to 50-50 the current resolution would still control and Reid would remain majority leader, and Democrats would keep their chairmanships. This has been extensively written about on other blogs, including over at TNR.

That's why the Senate GOP has made no efforts at getting Lieberman to quit. It's actually bad for them if he does because it takes away the novelty of him being a rogue Democrat.

Re: ARG Poll: Obama Holds Small Lead in Oregon -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Fri, 16 May 2008 12:56:10 -0000

Oh, ARG, imagine if you did the Nielsen ratings!

Re: Quote of the Day -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Thu, 15 May 2008 11:51:14 -0000

Don't think so. Your analysis is that of a first timer, it's easy to see.

Anyone who thinks Hillary can still take this hasn't followed politics for more than a couple months. I'm glad you're interested now, but you're like a brand new polling firm: You just don't know any better, so you repeat what's in your gut as though it belongs in your head.

Re: Quote of the Day -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Thu, 15 May 2008 11:49:07 -0000

Reading your posts I feel like I've stumbled upon a book aimed at young children called, "My First Election."

The pronouncements you make are pretty typical of the last heels dug in for Hillary; they're from people who have gotten a taste of politics thanks to this election (thanks either to their devotion to their candidate, or like West Virginia, their animosity toward Obama).

This is really quite comical. McCain isn't the strongest GOP candidate? That just shows how many cards are missing from your deck.

The popular vote-electoral vote split has happened once (maybe -- we still don't know who won Florida) in modern times. There's a reason for that.

Re: Quote of the Day -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Thu, 15 May 2008 11:42:12 -0000

McCain is a Democrat?
You sir are full of the brown stuff.

And bad at math.

When did this become Political Wire for Dummies?

Re: Quote of the Day -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Thu, 15 May 2008 11:23:10 -0000

Way to prove Roehl's point.

Hillary is going to make a third-party run? There are dumb ideas and there are DUMB ideas. This is the latter.

Re: Quote of the Day -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Thu, 15 May 2008 11:20:28 -0000

Real Texans can do math. You sir, are no Texan.

Re: Who is Coming Out for Obama? -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Wed, 14 May 2008 16:56:07 -0000

I'll guess Bill Clinton.

Now that would be a story!

Re: Obama's Amazing Money Machine -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Wed, 14 May 2008 14:12:54 -0000

Except, he outspent her 2-1 in WV. The 4-1 figure is when you add-in groups that advocated on his behalf, but don't add-in groups that advocate for her.

In life, we call that "intellectual dishonesty." In politics, we call it "Pulling a McAuliffe."

Re: Portland Tribune Poll: Obama Way Ahead in Oregon -- Political Wire

MickeyNY — Wed, 14 May 2008 14:07:20 -0000

Exactly. He loses the "Deliverance" demo. That's ok with me.