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fred

1 month ago

in Mortgages Blowing Wider Again on Zero Hedge
mtgs wider by 1-2bps

not exactly the end of the world

1 month ago

in The Chrysler CDS Question on Zero Hedge
the aig gift to banks story doesnt make sense anymore -- aig only lost $5b in Q1

1 month ago

in The Annihiliation Of The Dollar's Purchasing Power on Zero Hedge
zzzzzzzzzzz
1 reply
Gordon_Gekko's picture
Gordon_Gekko I guess you'll still be sleeping when Barack "Change" Obama devalues the dollar by half thus stealing half of whatever you have. Hell, you already lost 94%, what's another 6% right? Well, this chart is the ESSENCE of what is wrong with the financial system and why all the dislocations and misallocations are occurring. You can go back to sleep now.

1 month ago

in The Real Memo Out Of The Bureau Of Lies And Statistics on Zero Hedge
i'm pretty sure at unemployed college grads go into U6, not U3
1 reply
Onlooker Yes, that's probably so. And we ignore that stat because it upsets us. We can't have that now, can we?

1 month ago

in The Reverse Engineering Of Greenspan Continues on Zero Hedge
you really should be looking at mortgages vs 7-10 year T notes

because of prepayment, etc that's the average duration of these '30-year' securities
1 reply
dirk True, the 10 year is the more applicable, but look at that graph - the spread is pretty much at all time lows. And this at a time when there is very little certainty around the counterparty risk 7-10 years out on fannie/freddie.

now that Zimbabwe Ben has these bonds in his portfolio, how is he going to unwind these positions without leaving a bunch of money out in the market? is someone else going to take the same view he does on fannie/freddie risk? after all, they do not have the full faith and credit.

and what kind of MBS market is there going to be when he exits?

it is time shifting, nothing more, we will pay for this someday soon (probably before the end of the year), price controls never work.

2 months ago

in GM Is Officialy Wiping Out Common Shareholders on Zero Hedge
am i reading this correctly -- bondholders get paid out @ 90 cents on the dollar *and* get a 10% equity stake?
1 reply
gvibes I believe that 90% of the bondholders would have to tender for this deal to go through, in which case, they get 10% equity.

2 months ago

in Bootstrapping Technology For Eight Bucks a Day on interfacelab
Yes, but you specifically cite and link to the Business version.
1 reply
Jonathan I'm pretty sure it used to be called "for business" on everything, and then they used "premier" and "standard" pricing. Now there seems to be an intermix of 'for business' and 'premium'

in either event:
it's the same thing, and there's a link on the page.

2 months ago

in Weekly Macro Observations on Zero Hedge
dow jumped about 0.5% at 3:59

wild
3 replies
anonymous The S&P dropped 1% in the three minutes before that--wasn't that wild???
seeking vega Well, TD was sure right about the insane vol of the overall market. if you need any indication that the market is broken just look at the last 5 minutes of trading
show all 3 replies

2 months ago

in Fed Reports Over 30% Loss On Bear Stearns Mortgage Loans on Zero Hedge
about half of these loans are in california and florida

mess
1 reply
*.* sounds like WFC...oh, right they are doing great...rally on!!

2 months ago

in Barney Frank Takes Delorian Back To 2002 on Zero Hedge
the waters thing actually isnt crazy

about a year back amex was caught running a data mining program that raised rates on people who often shopped at walmart

2 months ago

in The Evaporating Collateral Of The United States on Zero Hedge
i think there's a problem with the WSJ report

that blue line should be industrial production--but the article makes it sound like it's employment

see the real paper here (p 18 for the relevant chart):

http://people.bu.edu/sgilchri/research/GYZ_30Ma...

he has an unemployment forecast of 10.5% in Q1 2010:

http://people.bu.edu/sgilchri/unemployment_fore...

2 months ago

in Sleeping with the enemy - Windows whiz spends two weeks with a Mac - Page 3 on IT Business
You might want to look at QuicKeys or AppleScript to make a hot key for <home> and <end>, both of which are quite useful keys with most Mac applications. You can automate most anything with a Mac using these technologies, though Ruby and Python are available as well.

I'm not too keen on Apple laptop keyboards, but mainly because I like a full size keyboard with a full array of keys including a keypad. The Apple Aluminum keyboard is great, especially when combined with a wireless Logitech laser mouse. (I haven't used an Apple mouse since 1998—they just rest in a box, unused.)

2 months ago

in Noah Greenbaum - Spirit In The Sky on Staires!
That would be *Norman* Greenbaum. It's even in the album cover you posted!
1 reply
Brad's picture
Brad Wow! I really fucked up! How'd I do that...

2 months ago

in Mom kills son, then self at shooting range on AMERICAblog
Oh my god. I watched that YouTube video and it really, really upset me. It isn't gory, but it is still VERY disturbing. How truly awful. What is really sad is that this mother apparently had been treated for mental illness, yet she is still able to not only own a gun, but rent ones at firing ranges. So sad.
1 reply
GoBlue Under Florida law she could not have bought a gun. But there is no law to stop her renting one.

3 months ago

in Where's The Trade? on Information Arbitrage
Be careful - you're ignoring the effects of QE/monetization.

That can (and did on Friday) send gilts to the moon.

5 months ago

in Judge Dredd Will Hit Big Screen…Again…For Some Reason on Film School Rejects
Another good film to be reanimated!! Can't wait for a RoboCop, the Wraith and FLY remakes too!!

6 months ago

in Beautiful Bacon and Cheese Role! (look at that weave) on AOK-STUDIOS
Needs step 8, call ambulance!

8 months ago

in Sauvons Mobuzz - MobuzzTV on MobuzzTV
Le 9 novembre ça fait un peu court, si subitement, vous ne l'avez pas vu venir ? Sinon je vous soutiens pleinement dans votre démarche, mais par pitié, cessez d'utiliser l'expression "Le iPhone" (et bien d'autres) ça décrédibilise vos propos. Bien cordialement...

12 months ago

in Bikes vs. Cars on Will Wilkinson
most roads are funded locally or by states. moreover, things like parking lots are mandated by zoning laws and subsidized by tax-paying, god-fearing businesses.

amtrak is funded nationally.

this report doesn't tell you anything, unless you really want to believe that we're making money by building roads.
2 replies
DWAnderson link in my response should have been to http://www.dot.ca.gov/hq/tpp/offices/osp/ctp202...
DWAnderson It is true that the report talks about the net subsidy at the level of the federal government. But this relationship also appears to hold up at the state level (see for example, this report on California.)

The reason cars show a negative subsidy is not that we are "making money by building roads" (although that proposition can be defended at some level of abstraction!), but rather that the costs associated with roads are more than covered by taxes on drivers (like gasoline taxes).

Sure, this analysis may not be perfect, but I don't think there are good reasons to believe that cars are not one of the least subsidized form of transportation out there.

1 year ago

in McCain Closes Cash Gap -- Political Wire on Political Wire
I beg to differ, Yvonne. Probably I will hold my nose while I vote for Obama in November as a direct result of his radio ad this week for Rep Barrow of Georgia, a Democrat in name only who votes for Bush (sure enough, he voted Yes on the FISA law Friday) and who has a legit progressive opponent in a primary election.

His support of Barrow tells me Obama is willing to sell out for political gain. While that's normal in politicians, Obama has held himself out as the candidate of change. In fact, with his support for immunity for telecoms, he's revealed himself to be politics as usual. You might be happy to eagerly support him, you might feel you're the grown up because you, too, are willing to sell out.

In my case, and I suspect Helen's, as a voter my plan is to support progressives wherever they are. But actively support Obama at this point? Forget it. His actions later on might be different, in a meaningful way, but until then I'm opting to support candidates who truly support a progressive agenda, that support the Constitution and equal justice before the law, that supports meaningful health care change.

I'd hope, Yvonne, that you would respect people's right to their beliefs and actions rather than use words like "grownup" to describe one set of voters.
2 replies
NCYvonne Do whatever you want. But you're in the minority. After being in the political wilderness for eight years, Democrats want to win. I will do everything I can to make sure that the next president is Obama. If you want to sit around whining about him not being "pure" which you'll be holding your breath and your nose if you think any such thing exists, go right ahead.

Mo Udall said it best back in the 1970's. "When Democrats form a firing squad, they sand in a circle."
jgrillo Others have disagreed with me, but I have noted the Democratic Party strategy of electing conservative Democrats recently...A conservative Democrat in the South is more conservative than a liberal Republican in New England.

I've been saying Obama is just another politician but Tim said it in a more more eloquent way in his 2nd paragraph.

1 year ago

in Suffolk Poll: Clinton Leads By 10 in Pennsylvania -- Political Wire on Political Wire
"...20 percent of core Democratic supporters fleeing to McCain, electability in November becomes a quantifiable problem;"

Only because Democrats have failed so far to tag McCain as toxic to the interests of independents. If/when that happens, electibility is no longer a quantifiable problem.
1 reply
jgrillo This dragged on race is benefitting Republicans tremendously...now we have Obama admitting McCain is much better than Bush, and Clinton saying McCain would make a better CINC than Obama. The only thing left remaining is for both Obama and Clinton to officially endorse John McCain for President.

John

1 year ago

in The Flying Car on artissco blog
Šie tēli ir no filmas Clerks un arī Clerks 2. Laba filmas. Šī gan ir piefilmēta klāt atsevišķa īsfilma.

1 year ago

in Quote of the Day -- Political Wire on Political Wire
Next time, Taegan, please include the full quote and let your readers decide. We're not so stupid that we'll jump on cue when you include only one paragraph. It's manipulative whether you intend to be or not.

1 year ago

in Son Bias & Misogyny on 8Asians.com
It's been a slow day at work so I had some time to poke around the Interweb regarding this topic. What I've found interesting include:

From this page: http://www.in-gender.com/XYU/Gender-Preference/
Gallup poll taken yearly since 1941 asking Americans if they were to have only one child, what sex would they prefer:
In 1941: 38% boy, 24% girl, 38% no opinion
In 2003: 38% boy, 28% girl, 34% no opinion

However, if you look at the responses by sex:
Male: 48% boy, 19% girl, 33% no opinion
Female: 30% boy, 35% girl, 35% no opinion

So, Americans, regardless of race, prefer boys. Moreso with men. Surprise surprise. As for the study that this post is referring to, I don't think it means that Asian-Americans hate baby girls (since the study seems to be focused on families that already have 2 girls), it's just that they still really, REALLY want that one boy. And have less qualms about how to get that one boy, especially if it's already the third time around. I would think there's economics involved now too since past a certain point you're going to have trouble raising all these kids.

Also ran across this article on the skewed boy/girl ratio when it comes to adoptions:
http://slate.msn.com/id/2093899/

Maybe an open letter to adoptive parents asking why they hate males should be in order too.
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