DISQUS

Rob Spectre You are out of your goddamned mind if you think "real conservative victory" is going to be delivered by Sarah Palin. She won't make it out of the primary in 2012 if she chooses to run.

Any one in the Republican establishment that isn't upset by her self-preservation antics in the last weeks of the McCain campaign will most certainly be turned off by her incompetence. Winning a Republican primary takes more than telegenics - it takes precinct captains and donation bundlers, direct mail consultants and razor-sharp polling. It requires an infrastructure Sarah Palin wouldn't know how to build from scratch and will be denied to her by folks who already have such completed. No one in the now-limited GOP power brokering business is going to waste his/her only ghost of a chance on the gal who brought McCain down.

The red carpet that was laid out for the unknown from Alaska may have her and her handlers thinking that this stuff comes easy. 2012 is going to be an election cycle that follows three full years of power vacuum within the Republican Party and will result in a wide primary field. If she thinks the carefully canned exchange with Biden was hard to cram for, she had better buckle up to the dozen debates where she'll be running against eleven better equipped, well funded, and more capable adversaries that would kill her just to watch her die.

She may run in 2012, but she will not make it to the general. If the conservative base of the GOP wants a win, they need to bet on a faster horse.