Disqus - Latest Comments for luke33

Re: Is OHC Accelerating?

luke33 — Wed, 21 Oct 2009 10:15:43 -0000

Of course maybe the PDO doesn't really exist itself. Shakun, J. D., and J. Shaman (2009), Tropical origins of North and South Pacific decadal variability, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L19711, doi:10.1029/2009GL040313.

And maybe the OHC estimates need work A new perspective on warming of the global oceans
M. D. Palmer, S. A. Good, K. Haines, N. A. Rayner and P. A. Stott-
Submitted to Geophysical Research Letters – Revised August 2009

and as El Nino itself morphs into Modoki El Nino

Re: Influence of the Southern Oscillation on tropospheric temperature

luke33 — Sat, 25 Jul 2009 21:07:50 -0000

David S says "A potential AGW buster" - OMIGAWD !

Mate is that your serious take on the paper or its press release.

If you want to defend your position as a serious sceptic just walk away quickly and we'll never speak of it again. Surely you wouldn't touch McLean's stuff with a barge pole. What what Bob thinking !

Parker et al have done the better analysis showing a long scale centennial trend overlain by episodic phenomena such as ENSO/PDO and AMO as lesser effects.

Meehl 2009 has given us some terrific insight as to the IPO interacting with the greenhouse forcing.

And if you thought about Smith and Power you'd be most worried about the stability of the SOI as an index with the Walker circulation starting to trend. (signs of AGW - wooo oooo - ghostly music)

And the new reality is that if you can't replicate your hypothesis in a model you're not even in the game space. You won't get the interactions.

Re: Swanson and Tsonis 2009 on Regime-shifts

luke33 — Tue, 14 Jul 2009 20:48:59 -0000

"Another difference is that while our model is created with empirical fits to data, it is backed up by reference to physical studies of changes in ocean currents"

David - as I challenged Coho - still not enough IMVeryHO. All still just stats stuff. You need some accounting of various effects. Maybe even some "modelling" - choke choke - to see how all this adds up and has a mechanistic as well as statistical basis.

So 2 challenges:

Get Chris Folland (Prof IPO) to give you some critique.

Get in published in GRL.

No excuses.