Disqus - Latest Comments for bmichael

Re: NYC's War On E-Bikes Takes Toll On Immigrant Delivery Workers

bmichael — Thu, 26 Apr 2018 09:29:57 -0000

Electronic bikes are absolutely more terrifying and dangerous than regular bikes. How they get regulated and policed is a separate issue. I see delivery people going the wrong way on one way streets -- at 20 mph+ speeds, which would be improbable on a regular bike -- constantly, and I live in the relatively sleepy neighborhood of Ditmas Park. It's fucking common sense; there's a vehicle that has more mass and goes twice as fast as a regular bike. It is more dangerous.

Re: PredictIt | How many tweets will @potus post from noon September 26 to noon October 3?

bmichael — Tue, 03 Oct 2017 10:38:28 -0000

Luckily I can subtract 1258 from 1318.

Re: PredictIt | Who will win the Republican primary in Alabama's 2017 special Senate election?

bmichael — Tue, 26 Sep 2017 15:55:07 -0000

this is probably the most cogent and helpful advice you're going to receive from DJT.

Re: PredictIt | Which party will win the next New Zealand general election?

bmichael — Tue, 12 Sep 2017 15:00:49 -0000

I prefer Jacindsanity.

Re: PredictIt | Will Trump's Gallup approval be 36% or higher for September 12-14?

bmichael — Tue, 12 Sep 2017 12:48:50 -0000

why in the world is this dropping so much? gal has been well above 36 and there's no reason for it to drop.

Re: TWIN PEAKS: THE RETURN Review: Parts 17 & 18

bmichael — Mon, 11 Sep 2017 13:30:32 -0000

There are 268 comments and no one corrected your misquote of the final line of the fucking show? It's "what year is this?" not "what year is it".

Re: PredictIt | When will the debt limit be raised?

bmichael — Fri, 08 Sep 2017 14:48:01 -0000

https://twitter.com/realDon...

he signs bills friday nights at camp david

Re: PredictIt | What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day September 8?

bmichael — Tue, 05 Sep 2017 14:03:23 -0000

them polls changed before my eyes

Re: PredictIt | What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day August 18?

bmichael — Thu, 17 Aug 2017 09:43:31 -0000

What's "JMark rule"?

Re: PredictIt | What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day August 18?

bmichael — Wed, 16 Aug 2017 15:55:49 -0000

Is IBD gonna drop out?

Re: PredictIt | How many briefings will the White House publish in August?

bmichael — Wed, 16 Aug 2017 13:23:19 -0000

Yes. It's a weird market because it's generally been in the 20s (theres a comment below that has the numbers) but since the WH is under renovation and everyone is on vacation, there haven't been many so far.

Re: PredictIt | How many tweets will @potus post from noon August 8 to noon August 15?

bmichael — Mon, 14 Aug 2017 15:01:35 -0000

Are you a Phish fan?

Re: PredictIt | What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day August 11?

bmichael — Fri, 11 Aug 2017 09:06:52 -0000

But you'd have to buy a cannon first!

Re: PredictIt | What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day August 11?

bmichael — Fri, 11 Aug 2017 08:47:48 -0000

also 37...

https://uploads.disquscdn.c...

Re: PredictIt | What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day August 11?

bmichael — Fri, 11 Aug 2017 08:25:14 -0000

RCP has the wrong number for the YouGov Poll. I just noticed from looking at 538's aggregator. It should be 37, but RCP has it at 40. They both link to the same PDF doc...

Re: PredictIt | What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day August 4?

bmichael — Thu, 03 Aug 2017 13:30:44 -0000

The bias in favor of the currently winning bracket

"Bias" is literally how you figure out which bracket is currently winning

Re: PredictIt | How many tweets will @realDonaldTrump post from noon July 26 to noon August 2?

bmichael — Wed, 02 Aug 2017 10:18:35 -0000

we're in boys

Re: PredictIt | Which of the 24 people on Trump’s Cabinet list will leave first?

bmichael — Wed, 02 Aug 2017 09:13:16 -0000

I love this market

Re: PredictIt | Which of the 24 people on Trump’s Cabinet list will leave first?

bmichael — Tue, 01 Aug 2017 10:56:17 -0000

i've been in this market for almost a week.... i have no soul left

Re: PredictIt | Which of the 24 people on Trump’s Cabinet list will leave first?

bmichael — Tue, 01 Aug 2017 09:47:51 -0000

that's three days old and it refers to using PI's share prices as the percentage odds of a thing happening. Stop spamming the comments.

Re: PredictIt | Which of the 24 people on Trump’s Cabinet list will leave first?

bmichael — Fri, 28 Jul 2017 18:00:09 -0000

uh, I'm agreeing with your other posts. (being sarcastic here)

Re: PredictIt | Which of the 24 people on Trump’s Cabinet list will leave first?

bmichael — Fri, 28 Jul 2017 17:57:56 -0000

https://twitter.com/thehill...

sounds like he resigned yesterday

Re: PredictIt | Which of the 24 people on Trump’s Cabinet list will leave first?

bmichael — Fri, 28 Jul 2017 17:52:23 -0000

It was actually at 90+ immediately after the news broke. It's been steadily falling.

Re: PredictIt | Will John F. Kelly (DHS) be the first person on Trump's Cabinet list to leave?

bmichael — Fri, 28 Jul 2017 17:49:49 -0000

Hey all, I think this Kelly fella has a chance!

Re: PredictIt | Which of the 24 people on Trump’s Cabinet list will leave first?

bmichael — Fri, 28 Jul 2017 17:34:21 -0000

because, if they are simultaneous, then it goes by alphabetical order...